Mortality Analysis and Model Prediction of Children Under 5 years Old in a City of Northwest China

The mortality rate of children under 5 years old is an important index to measure the quality of maternal and child health work of a region. We aimed to analyze the death status of children under 5 years old in a city of northwest China (Lanzhou) from 2012 to 2018 and establish a time series model to predict the death of children under 5 years old in 2019.