Challenging the Chemistry of Climate Change

As talk grows about billions or even trillions of dollars being directed toward potential “Net Zero” activities, it is imperative that the chemistry inherent in or driving those actions make scientific sense. The challenge is to close the mass and energy balances to the carbon and oxygen cycles in the Earth’s atmosphere and oceans. Several areas of climate science have been identified that chemists can investigate through methods that do not require a supercomputer or a climate model for investigation, most notably the following: (1) The carbon cycle, which still needs to be balanced, as many known streams, such as carbon to landfills, carbon in human-enhanced sewage and land runoff streams, and carbon stored in homes and other material, do not seem to have been accounted for in carbon balances used by the IPCC. (2) Ocean chemistry and balances are required to explain the causes of regional and local-scale salinity, pH, and anoxic conditions vs. global changes. For example, local anoxic conditions are known to be impacted by changes in nutrient discharges to oceans, while large-scale human diversions of fresh water streams for irrigation, power, and industrial cooling must have regional impacts on oceanic salinity and pH. (3) Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) schemes, if adopted on the large scales being proposed (100s to 1000s of Gt net injection by 2100), should impact the composition of the atmosphere by reducing free oxygen, adding more water from combustion, and displacing saline water from subsurface aquifers. Data indicate that atmospheric oxygen is currently dropping at about twice the rate of CO2 concentrations increasing, which is consistent with combustion chemistry with 1.5 to 2 molecules of oxygen being converted through combustion to 1 molecule of CO2 and 1 to 2 molecules of H2O, with reverse reactions occurring as a result of oxygenic photosynthesis by increased plant growth. The CCS schemes will sabotage these reverse reactions of oxygenic photosynthesis by permanently sequestering the oxygen atoms in each CO2 molecule.