Assessment of Decadal Rainfall Prediction Skill Across Southeast Asia Using CMIP6 Models

Key Points

• This research aims to evaluate the accuracy of climate models in predicting rainfall patterns over Southeast Asia for the next decade.
• Used CMIP6 climate models for decadal rainfall predictions.
• Evaluated model performance based on historical rainfall data in Southeast Asia.
• Applied statistical analyses to validate predictions against observed data.
• Certain models showed high prediction accuracy for rainfall trends (p<0.05).
• Findings indicate regional differences in model performance across Southeast Asia.
• The study highlights the importance of improving model reliability for future climate adaptation.