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June 3, 2026Open Access

Is the EU Still Concerned? A Computational Analysis of the Evolution of EU Stance on Democratic Backsliding in Turkey

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Authors

EAEgemen Aray

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Overview

Computational analysis tracks EU's evolving stance on Turkey's democracy issues, highlighting strategic interests.

Key Points

  • This research examines how the EU's stance on Turkey's democratic backsliding has evolved amidst shifting strategic interests.
  • Conducted a computational analysis of 3,409 EUR-Lex documents from 2013 to 2026.
  • Utilized keyword-in-context (KWIC) analysis to explore the meaning of 'conditionality' in relation to Turkey.
  • Analyzed political and strategic developments influencing EU-Turkey relations.
  • The EU's strategic interests in migration, defense, and trade have overshadowed concerns about Turkey's democracy.
  • Keyword-in-context analysis showed that 'conditionality' referred mainly to the EU-Turkey immigration deal.
  • The muted EU response to the imprisonment of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in 2025 signals a structural transformation in EU-Turkey relations.

Cite This Study

Egemen Aray (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1fc4e4dee9eb8c0dce65cdhttps://doi.org/10.6082/xq7ca-a5e09
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