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June 3, 2026Journal of Hypertension0 citations

Prognostic Value of Cardiac Troponins for Cardiovascular Mortality Across Easo-Defined Obesity Phenotypes: A Heterogeneity Analysis

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XFXimin FanYWYue WangBYBing Yang

Key Result

Adding hs-cTnT to Framingham risk factors significantly improved cardiovascular mortality risk classification in persons with obesity (NRI 0.22; 95% CI 0.17-0.28; P<0.001), but not in other groups.

Key Points

  • This research evaluates whether cardiac troponins can predict cardiovascular mortality across various obesity phenotypes defined by EASO.
  • Analyzed 11,609 adults from NHANES 1999–2004 with median 16.8 years follow-up.
  • Participants categorized by EASO into normal weight, overweight, and obesity groups.
  • Used Cox proportional hazards regression with Fine–Gray adjustment to estimate hazard ratios and evaluated model discrimination with C-statistics and NRI.
  • All four troponins showed significant association with cardiovascular mortality.
  • hs-cTnT had HRs (95% CI) of 1.98 (1.70–2.31) for normal weight, 2.94 (2.15–4.04) for overweight, and 2.47 (2.19–2.79) for obesity.
  • Adding hs-cTnT to Framingham risk factors notably improved risk classification in obesity (NRI 0.22; P<0.001) but not in other groups.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=11,609)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does the prognostic value of cardiac troponins for cardiovascular mortality vary across EASO-defined obesity phenotypes?

P
Population
11,609 adults from NHANES 1999-2004, categorized by EASO obesity phenotypes, followed for a median of 16.8 years for cardiovascular mortality.
E
Exposure
Assessment of four cardiac troponins: high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and three cardiac troponin I assays (Abbott, Siemens, Ortho)
C
Comparator
Comparison across EASO-defined obesity phenotypes (normal weight, overweight, obesity)
O
Outcome
Cardiovascular (CV) deathhard clinical

The prognostic value and clinical utility of cardiac troponins for cardiovascular mortality are significantly modified by obesity status, improving risk classification primarily in individuals with obesity.

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 2.47 (95% CI 2.19–2.79)

Abstract

Objective: Cardiac troponins are established biomarkers for cardiovascular (CV) risk stratification. Whether their prognostic utility varies across obesity phenotypes defined by the European Association for the Study of Obesity (EASO) framework remains to be determined.Design and method: We analyzed 11,609 adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999–2004 with median mortality follow-up of 16.8 years. Participants were categorized using the EASO framework into persons with normal weight (n=3,513), persons with overweight (n=2,211), and persons with obesity (n=5,885). Four cardiac troponins were assessed: high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and three cardiac troponin I assays (Abbott, Siemens, Ortho). Cox proportional hazards regression with Fine–Gray competing risk adjustment was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for CV death. Multiplicative interaction tests were performed to assess effect modification by obesity status. Model discrimination and clinical utility were evaluated using C-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Results: In the overall population, all four troponins were significantly associated with CV mortality. Significant interactions with obesity status were observed for hs-cTnT (P-interaction=0.017) and cTnI-Ortho (P-interaction=0.014), indicating heterogeneity in prognostic associations across EASO-defined groups. For hs-cTnT, HRs (95% CI) per unit increase were 1.98 (1.70–2.31) in persons with normal weight, 2.94 (2.15–4.04) in persons with overweight, and 2.47 (2.19–2.79) in persons with obesity. NRI analyses revealed differential clinical utility: adding hs-cTnT to Framingham risk factors improved risk classification in persons with obesity (NRI 0.22, 95% CI 0.17–0.28; P<0.001) but not in persons with overweight (NRI -0.01; P=0.881) or persons with normal weight (NRI -0.13, 95% CI -0.21 to -0.05; P<0.001). Similar patterns were observed for cTnI assays, with consistent positive reclassification in obesity (NRIs 0.22–0.38) and null or negative reclassification in other groups. Conclusions: The prognostic value and clinical utility of cardiac troponins for CV mortality vary across EASO-defined obesity phenotypes. These findings suggest that obesity status should be considered when interpreting cardiac troponin levels for risk stratification and may inform personalized CV risk assessment approaches.

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Cite This Study

Fan et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Obesity (n=11,609). Cardiac troponins vs. Lower levels (per unit increase) was evaluated on Cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.47, 95% CI 2.19-2.79). Adding hs-cTnT to Framingham risk factors significantly improved cardiovascular mortality risk classification in persons with obesity (NRI 0.22; 95% CI 0.17-0.28; P<0.001), but not in other groups.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1fc6cddee9eb8c0dce7bffhttps://doi.org/10.1097/01.hjh.0001196376.86004.56
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