Multimodal deep learning model for prediction of breast cancer recurrence risk and correlation with oncotype DX

BACKGROUND: Proper stratification of recurrence risk in breast cancer is crucial for guiding treatment decisions. This study aims to predict the recurrence risk of breast cancer patients using a multimodal deep learning model that integrates multiple sequence MRI imaging features with clinicopathologic characteristics. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we enrolled 574 patients with non-metastatic invasive breast cancer from two Chinese institutions between September 2012 and July 2019. We developed a multimodal deep learning (MDL) model by constructing a multi-instance learning framework based on convolutional neural networks. We integrated imaging features from T2WI, DWI, and DCE-MRI sequences with clinicopathologic features for breast cancer recurrence risk stratification. Subsequently, the performance of the MDL model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Survival analysis was conducted with Kaplan-Meier survival curves to stratify breast cancer patients into high and low-recurrence risk groups. Time-dependent ROC curves were used to assess 3-year, 5-year, and 7-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) for breast cancer patients. Additionally, we performed differential and enrichment analyses on Oncotype DX genes. We correlated these genes with clinicopathologic features and deep-learning radiographic features using univariate Cox regression and Pearson correlation analysis. RESULTS: The MDL model demonstrated good performance in predicting breast cancer recurrence risk and accurately differentiated between high- and low-recurrence risk groups, with an AUC as high as 0.915 (95% CI 0.8448-0.9856). The C-index of prediction models was 0.803 in the testing cohort. The AUCs for 5-year and 7-year RFS were 0.936 (95% CI 0.876-0.997) and 0.956 (95% CI 0.902-1.000) in the validation cohort. In the testing cohort, these AUCs were 0.836 (95% CI 0.763-0.909) and 0.783 (95% CI 0.676-0.891). This study found a significant correlation between Oncotype DX gene expression, clinicopathologic features, and deep-learning radiographic features (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study validated the robust predictive accuracy of the MDL model in identifying high- and low-risk groups for recurrence. The correlations identified between Oncotype DX genes, clinicopathologic features, and deep-learning radiographic features offer novel insights for future biomarker research in breast cancer.