This study addresses the problem of the expected variability of predictability of the load curves in the Tunisian Company of Electricity and Gas (STEG). For this purpose, the maximum prediction horizon of the daily peak load time series was investigated using the largest Lyapunov exponent estimation. The results may explain the recent observed degradation of forecast accuracy due to the increase in air conditioning load.
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Vall et al. (2007) studied this question.
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