The technique of screening‐regression analysis is applied to forecasting the monsoon performance (percentage rainfall departure) over India from the immediately preceding May's meteorological variables. The resulting prediction equation with five variables performed well, with a few exceptions, on independent data. The forecasting scheme shows some promise of providing a useful forecast of monsoon rainfall departures over India before the beginning of the season.
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Bhalme et al. (1986) studied this question.
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