In this paper several qualitative definitions of the "smart city" concept are considered as well as an attempt to quantify the degree of "intelligence". The generic characteristics of smart cities are distinguished in each of these definitions. At the same time, each of these definitions under consideration has its own differences. This affects, for example, what the emphasis is in each definition. Several possible functions that can describe the dynamics of the development of cities described by some quantitative indicator are considered. Various well-known statistical distributions can be used as such functions. Authors suggest using one of these distributions – the three-parameter Weibull distribution. It is proposed to modify this distribution by introducing the fourth parameter, which is obtained by splitting the third parameter of the Weibull distribution into two new independent parameters. In this case, a new, four-parameter distribution better describes the various dynamics of the selected quantitative indicator of the city's development. You can also get good opportunities to describe the dynamics of development of some selected indicator of the city's development, if you consider the distribution coefficients, not constant, but time-dependent. But then it will be necessary to obtain a functional dependence of these coefficients on time from the results of observations, which will further complicate the task of forecasting. Various aspects of the concept of smart cities are qualitatively considered. The article proposes the application of a modified Weibull distribution for forecasting the development of some quantitative indicators of the level of the city's development.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Mkrtychev et al. (2018) studied this question.