Model Misspecification and Multipoint Linkage Analysis

Pairwise linkage analysis is robust to genetic model misspecification provided dominance is correctly specified, the primary effect being inflation of the recombination fraction. By contrast, we show that multipoint analysis under misspecified models is not robust when a putative disease locus is placed between close flanking markers, with potentially spuriously negative multipoint lod scores being produced. The problem is due to incorrect attribution of segregation of a disease allele and the consequent conclusion of (unlikely) double crossovers between flanking markers. As a possible solution, we propose the use of high disease allele frequencies, as this allows probabilistically for nonsegregation (through parental homozygosity or dual matings). We show analytically and through analysis of pedigree data simulated under a two-locus heterogeneity model that using a disease allele frequency of 0.05 in the dominant case and 0.25 in the recessive case is quite robust in producing positive multipoint lod scores with close flanking markers across a broad range of conditions including varying allele frequencies, epistasis, genetic heterogeneity and phenocopies.