Activity-Travel Scheduling and Rescheduling Decision Processes: Empirical Estimation of Aurora Model

Predicting short-term activity-travel decisions is high on the research agenda because it constitutes a critical step in assessing the impact of policy decisions on daily traffic flows. The Aurora model was developed for predicting short-term activity scheduling and rescheduling decisions. Previous studies, using numerical simulations, have shown the potential of this model. The results of a study that estimated the model using empirical activity-travel diary data collected in the Amsterdam-Utrecht corridor, in the Netherlands, are reported.