Assessment of City-Scale Rooftop Photovoltaic Integration and Urban Energy Autonomy Across Europe

This study suggests a newly developed model for estimating city-scale photovoltaic rooftop energy potential. This model aims to provide reasonable universal calculations regarding a city’s available space for mounting rooftop photovoltaic systems and their corresponding annual electricity production capacity. For the development of the model, a thorough literature review has been conducted, which compiles and presents mathematical expressions and performance coefficients. Necessary geographic and meteorological data have been obtained from European statistical repositories and the PVGIS tool, respectively. The main inputs refer to a city’s basic geographical data, population, total actual area, geographical coordinates, and, by extension, the optimum PV unit installation angle. This analysis presents a simple and accurate model applicable to European cities for assessing rooftop photovoltaic energy potential and suitable rooftop space for PV units. The findings can aid in advancing PV development in urban areas and contribute to creating environmentally neutral cities in the future. The methodology is verified with data retrieved from the Google Environmental Insights Explorer tool, which shows a deviation of 9.72%. According to the computational analysis for 40 European countries, the photovoltaic energy potential is between 12.31 GWh and 8200 GWh. These values correspond to a net available PV space between 0.03 km2 and 31.86 km2. The greatest photovoltaic coverage potential is equal to 117.4% for Patras, Greece, while the lowest is 7.27% for Oslo, Norway. Regarding the avoided greenhouse gas emissions, they are found to vary from 5.8 ktons of CO2-equivalent for Valletta, Malta, and 8109.8 ktons for the city of London, United Kingdom. Finally, the final results of 86 additional cities located on the European continent are given.