Does Trade Liberalization Benefit Young and Old Alike?

In an overlapping generations model, capital and labor produce two tradable goods. A kleptocratic government spends the tariff revenue. Trade liberalization benefits the retired generation if and only if the relative price of the capital‐intensive good rises. Starting from autarky, a small liberalization benefits subsequent generations if and only if it hurts the retired one, a result reminiscent of the Stolper‐Samuelson theorem. However, the terms‐of‐trade effect means a large liberalization may simultaneously raise the welfare of all generations.