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Assesses coastal vulnerability in the UAE, indicating risks for local ecosystems and populations.
As they are home to numerous significant ecosystems, natural resources, and a growing population, coastal regions are among the most vital locations on Earth. This study, pertaining to the east coast of the UAE, integrates nine distinct characteristics to provide a thorough methodology for assessing integrated coastal vulnerability. Land use and land cover (LULC), nearshore bathymetry, coastal geomorphology, coastal slope, shoreline erosion and deposition, population density, wave and tide, and nearshore benthic features are important parameters that are examined. For the first time, coastal benthic features are included to assess coastal vulnerability in this region. By combining the variably weighted rank values of the nine variables, an Integrated Coastal Vulnerability Index was created, which divides the coastline into low-, moderate-, and high-risk categories. The methodology improves the precision of regional risk assessments by combining these factors with data from real-time coastal surveillance. Approximately 26.4% of the UAE’s 178 km east coast (or 47.1 km) is at high risk, followed by 17.3% (or 30.9 km) at moderate risk and 56.3% (or 100.2 km) at low risk. The offshore areas of the east coast of the UAE are prone to shoaling and tunneling effects from incoming high waves at certain areas due to the concave-shaped bathymetry and medium-range canyons present, which exacerbate storm surges or tsunamis due to the shoaling effect. For a 3 m rise in sea level, most significantly, 5.58 km2 of plantation and 14.39 km2 of residential areas will be damaged in the Kalba and Fujairah regions. Additional commercial spaces totaling 1.07 km2 will also have an impact, adding to the existing 2.59 km2 of oil bunkers in Fujairah. More than 40,000 people who live within 3.0 m of the UAE’s east coast in six separate districts—Kalba, Fujairah City, Mirbah and Qidfa, Khorfakkan, Dadna and Bidya, and Dibba—will be impacted if a tsunami wave or storm surge of three meters strikes the east coast. Our results are intended to assist government agencies, coastal planners, and policymakers in the Northeast Emirates (Fujairah and Sharjah) in creating sustainable and successful adaptation and mitigation plans for areas most vulnerable to coastal hazards. In addition to enhancing scientific knowledge of coastal vulnerabilities, this integrative method is a useful tool for making well-informed decisions in the face of shifting socio-economic and climatic situations.
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Subraelu et al. (2026) studied this question.
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