Birth weight is the most important predictor of abnormal retinal vascularisation in moderately preterm infants

AIM: To find predictors of abnormal retinal vascularisation in moderately to late preterm newborn infants considered to have no risk of developing retinopathy of prematurity. METHODS: Seventy-eight infants (34 girls) were recruited from a longitudinal study of otherwise healthy premature children born at a gestational age of 32 + 0-36 + 6 weeks. Retinal vessel morphology was evaluated at mean postnatal age 7 days. Insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) levels were analysed in umbilical cord blood. RESULTS: Of the 78 infants, 21 (27%) had abnormal retinal vessel morphology; they had significantly lower median (range) birth weight [1850 g, (1190-3260), vs. 2320, (1330-3580), p < 0.0001], shorter birth length [43.0 cm, (38-49), vs. 46.0, (40-50), p < 0.0001] and smaller head circumference [31.0 cm, (27.7-34.0), vs. 32.0, (27.5-36.5), p = 0.003]. They also had significantly lower gestational age [34 + 1 weeks, (32 + 2-35 + 3), vs. 34 + 6, (32 + 2-36 + 6), p = 0.004] and mean ± SD IGF-I levels (24.6 ± 17.0 μg/L vs. 46.7 ± 21.5, p < 0.0001). A higher percentage of these infants were small for gestational age (57.1% vs. 15.8%, p = 0.001), and maternal hypertension/preeclampsia rates were also higher (47.6% vs. 19.3%, p = 0.03). Step-wise logistic regression showed that birth weight was the strongest predictor of abnormal retinal vascularisation (p < 0.0001, odds ratio 0.040, 95% confidence interval 0.007-0.216). CONCLUSION: In this population of moderately to late preterm newborns, birth weight appeared to affect the retinal vascular system.