F. Ellis McKenzie, Gerry F. Killeen, John C. Beier, William H. Bossert, Seasonality, Parasite Diversity, and Local Extinctions in Plasmodium falciparum Malaria, Ecology, Vol. 82, No. 10 (Oct., 2001), pp. 2673-2681
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McKenzie et al. (2001) studied this question.
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