Key result
Elevated creatinine-to-albumin ratio is linked to ~38% higher 28-day mortality in critically ill AF patients.
Why the study?
Atrial fibrillation is associated with increased short-term mortality in critically ill patients, prompting investigation of the creatinine-to-albumin ratio's association with 28-day mortality and utility in prediction models.
Does an elevated creatinine-to-albumin ratio predict 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation?
Cohort (n=4,501)
Does an elevated creatinine-to-albumin ratio predict 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation?
Hazard Ratio: 1.377 (95% CI 1.175–1.615)
p-value: p=< .001
An elevated creatinine-to-albumin ratio is an independent predictor of 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation, offering a simple biomarker for early risk stratification.
May support CAR for risk stratification in critically ill AF; leaves open incremental value and need for prospective validation.
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with increased short-term mortality in critically ill patients. The creatinine-to-albumin ratio (CAR) is associated with adverse outcomes in various clinical settings. This study investigated the association between CAR and 28-day all-cause mortality and evaluated its contribution to a clinical prediction model. A total of 4501 critically ill patients with AF were identified from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. The optimal cutoff value for CAR was determined using X-tile software, and the patients were categorized into high (>0.5) and low (≤0.5) CAR groups. The Kaplan–Meier analysis demonstrated a significantly lower 28-day survival in patients with elevated CAR. The CAR showed good discriminative ability for 28-day mortality. In multivariate Cox regression analyses, CAR remained independently associated with 28-day mortality, both as a continuous variable (hazard ratio = 1.211, 95% confidence interval = 1.061–1.381, P = .004) and as a categorical variables (>0.5 vs ≤0.5; hazard ratio = 1.377, 95% confidence interval = 1.175–1.615, P < .001). Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a significant nonlinear dose–response relationship between CAR and mortality risk. Subgroup analyses showed consistent associations across most prespecified subgroups. A multivariate prediction model incorporating CAR was used to construct a nomogram that demonstrated good discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Overall, elevated CAR was independently and consistently associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality in critically ill patients with AF. In addition, the nomogram incorporating CAR demonstrated strong predictive performance. Given its routine availability and biological plausibility, CAR may serve as a simple and practical biomarker for early risk stratification and individualized prognostic assessment in this high-risk population.
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Li et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Atrial fibrillation in critically ill patients (n=4,501). Elevated creatinine-to-albumin ratio (>0.5) vs. Low creatinine-to-albumin ratio (≤0.5) was evaluated on 28-day all-cause mortality (HR 1.377, 95% CI 1.175-1.615, p=< .001). An elevated creatinine-to-albumin ratio (>0.5) was associated with increased 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation (HR 1.377; 95% CI 1.175-1.615; P<0.001).
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