Dense Optical Flow Retrieval of Wildfire Smoke Plume Motion from Spaceborne and Airborne Imagery

This paper evaluates a dense, total-variation-based optical flow method for retrieving wildfire smoke plume motion vectors from geostationary, deep-space, and airborne remote sensing imagery. Using multiple major fire events, we assess the robustness of the approach across a range of spatial resolutions and time intervals. The test cases include Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) observations of the 2025 Los Angeles Fires and the 2024 Park Fire, imagery from NASA’s Enhanced MODIS Airborne Simulator (eMAS) for the 2019 Sheridan and Williams Flats Fires, and a complementary Park Fire image pair from the Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC) aboard the Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR). Optical flow is computed directly on radiance fields, and smoke plumes are isolated using smoke masks derived from the Segmentation, Instance Tracking, and data Fusion Using multi-SEnsor imagery (SIT-FUSE) framework where available. Performance is evaluated by comparing the root mean square error (RMSE) between original image pairs and between the first image and the second image after warping with the retrieved motion field. RMSE is computed both globally and over smoke-only regions. Across GOES and eMAS cases, optical flow systematically reduces RMSE, often by more than a factor of two within smoke regions, indicating substantially improved frame-to-frame alignment of plume structures after motion correction. The DSCOVR/EPIC case, despite its coarser spatial resolution and longer temporal separation, also shows a marked reduction in global RMSE, demonstrating that the method remains informative under a broader range of observational conditions. For a selected subset of 10 consecutive GOES Park Fire pairs, we additionally compare the retrieved smoke motion vectors with collocated winds from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model and find the closest agreement in a broad lower-tropospheric layer centered near 875 hPa. These results show that dense optical flow can capture fine-scale plume evolution in high-temporal-resolution datasets while also providing useful motion estimates in coarser, global-view imagery. RMSE reduction is interpreted here as evidence of improved motion-compensated alignment, while the HRRR comparison provides initial physical context rather than independent validation. The resulting smoke motion vector fields provide a foundation for future comparison with model winds and for applications in plume analysis, fire hazard monitoring, and air quality studies.