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June 11, 2026IET Energy Systems Integration1 citationsOpen Access

A Multiscale Lightweight Deep Learning Approach for Short‐Term Multi‐Energy Load Forecasting in Integrated Energy Systems

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JWJingshu WangLZLiyuan ZhaoJGJunhua Gu

Key Points

  • This research aims to improve the accuracy of multi-energy load forecasting in integrated energy systems by addressing current limitations.
  • Introduced a multiscale lightweight deep learning approach with an improved variant channel multiscale bottleneck residual network.
  • Analyzed dynamic coupling characteristics using correlation coefficients for model-specific input configurations.
  • Integrated extracted features into a multi-task learning framework utilizing a bidirectional long short-term memory network.
  • The proposed method achieved significantly higher prediction accuracy compared to existing models.
  • Enhanced computational efficiency was observed, reducing resource demands during load forecasting.
  • The approach effectively captured complex features within load data through improved deep learning techniques.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Accurate multi‐energy load forecasting plays a vital role in the optimal scheduling of integrated energy systems (IES). However, existing forecasting methods face two major challenges: insufficient extraction of complex features within load data, which limits prediction accuracy, and ever‐increasing model complexity, which leads to a sharp rise in computational resource demands. To tackle the above‐mentioned challenges, this research introduces a load forecasting scheme derived from multiscale lightweight deep learning. First, the dynamic coupling characteristics of load data are analysed using correlation coefficients to determine model‐specific input configurations. Then, an improved variant channel multiscale bottleneck residual network (VC‐MBResNet) is proposed to obtain high‐dimensional load feature data. Finally, by leveraging shared underlying parameters and an enhanced adaptive loss function for each subtask‐using both soft and hard weight‐sharing strategies—the extracted features are integrated into a multi‐task learning (MTL) framework. A bidirectional long short‐term memory (BiLSTM) network is employed as the shared layer, with an attention mechanism embedded in its hidden layers to enhance the focus on critical temporal features. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach surpasses existing models in terms of both prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.

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Cite This Study

Wang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a2a505d80c8f91e7f39ced0https://doi.org/10.1049/esi2.70048
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