Key result
Social Deprivation Index adds no predictive value for incident PAD beyond established risk factors.
Why the study?
Social determinants of health are increasingly recognized as cardiovascular risk factors, but whether the social deprivation index provides additional peripheral arterial disease risk prediction beyond established risk factors was unknown.
Does the social deprivation index (SDI) provide additional risk prediction for incident peripheral arterial disease beyond established risk factors?
Cohort (n=5,580)
Yes
Does the social deprivation index (SDI) provide additional risk prediction for incident peripheral arterial disease beyond established risk factors?
The incorporation of the social deprivation index does not provide additional predictive value for incident peripheral arterial disease beyond established traditional risk factors.
Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) has many established risk factors, but social determinants of health (SDoH) are increasingly recognized as a cardiovascular disease risk factor. The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort was employed to evaluate if neighborhood-level SDoH, represented by the social deprivation index (SDI), provide additional PAD risk prediction beyond the established risk factors. 5,580 individuals from the MESA cohort had social deprivation index (SDI) scores calculated at the zip code tabulation area (ZCTA) geographic level. Incident PAD, established by an ankle-brachial index (ABI) of < 0.9, was the outcome of interest. Two sets of logistic regression models evaluated the SDI's impact on established PAD risk factors. Black and Hispanic individuals lived in areas with more social deprivation than White and Chinese individuals. With SDI incorporation, age (Odds Ratio [OR] 1.08 per year, p-value < 0.001), treated diabetes (OR 2.02, p-value 0.002), and both current (OR 3.16, p-value < 0.001) and former (OR 1.43, p-value 0.022) cigarette smoking were significantly associated with incident PAD. After SDI removal, there were no consequential changes in significant associations and ORs. Across all measured risk factors, SDI score incorporation did not significantly modify PAD development. The overall composite SDI score's association with incident PAD was not significant (OR 1.00, p-value 0.437). The SDI's addition to recognized risk factors did not enhance PAD risk prediction. SDI scores had prominent racial/ethnic disparity. In conclusion, the SDI's impact on PAD development is likely upstream to known risk factors, so its incorporation provides no additional risk.
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Brandon et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Peripheral Arterial Disease (n=5,580). Social Deprivation Index (SDI) vs. Established risk factors without SDI was evaluated on Incident PAD (ABI < 0.9) (OR 1.00, 95% CI 1.00, 1.01, p=0.437). The overall composite Social Deprivation Index score was not significantly associated with incident peripheral arterial disease (OR 1.00), providing no additional risk prediction beyond established risk factors.
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