Qualitative analysis of RMB currency swaps reveals limitations for emerging economies, suggesting restricted use in global markets.
Since 2009, the People’s Bank of China has created an expanding network of currency swaps around the world to facilitate renminbi internationalisation (RMBI). These lines present an attractive dollar alternative for many emerging and developing economies. (EMDEs) Despite these developments, I argue that while China's swap lines may play an important window-dressing role and may enable dollar access, the terms and operation of the RMB swap lines themselves constrain broader currency use by EMDEs. China’s currency swaps reflect and transmit, previously studied economic, political, and geopolitical impediments to RMBI. They provide RMB liquidity that is contingent and restricted, thereby undermining usability and consequently, their capacity to support sustained international RMB use in global financial markets. Drawing on qualitative evidence from elite interviews I evaluate my argument with three case studies on Indonesia, Argentina and Sri Lanka. My analyses illustrate the limits of China’s monetary expansion in the global South.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Aditi Sahasrabuddhe (2026) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: