Practical note tests a quantum-horizon echo-delay law in NGC 4151, suggesting notable timing structures in accretion lags.
This practical note tests a fixed mass-scaled quantum-horizon echo-delay law in the public Swift multiwavelength monitoring data of NGC 4151. The tested delay is not fitted to the lag data. It is computed from the black-hole mass and redshift using the two fixed branches Δ tobs(M;α,z)=(1+z)S(M)/cS(M)/P, where rS(M)=2GM/c² and the physical branch coefficients are α=2/3 and α=4/3. The physical origin of the two branches is the two-screen black-hole relation Rqh³=rSP², which gives the one-way branch Δ t1w 2/3rS/cS/P and the two-way branch Δ t2w 4/3rS/cS/P. For NGC 4151, using M_•=4.57×10⁷ M_ and $z=0.003262$, the predicted observer-frame delays are Δ t1w,obs=8.844\ h and Δ t2w,obs=17.689\ h. The UV/optical lag-wavelength structure shows two near-horizontal lag layers close to these fixed predictions. The selected one-way layer has mean lag Δ t1w=9.336\ h, and the selected two-way layer has mean lag Δ t2w=18.480\ h. Their observed ratio is 18.480/9.336=1.979, close to the predicted two-branch ratio of $2$. Inverting the same fixed delay law gives timing-mass estimates of approximately Mecho,1w4.82×10⁷ M_ and Mecho,2w4.77×10⁷ M_, consistent with the adopted reverberation-mapping mass scale of NGC 4151. The note compares the fixed quantum-horizon delay layers with disk-only lag-wavelength curves. A pure disk-only no-offset model does not naturally reproduce the two near-horizontal layers, while an offset-dominated disk-plus-offset fit effectively behaves as a common-delay model. The main result is therefore not a single lag coincidence, but a two-branch timing structure: the same response channels show both the one-way and two-way predicted delay layers. This record includes the PDF technical note, figures, selected lag-layer tables, model-comparison outputs, and reproducibility materials used to generate the reported NGC 4151 result.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Eugene Malkov (2026) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: