Yearlong drift in the Arctic Ocean reveals significant ice thinning and extensive summer open water, indicating climate trends.
Research involving a yearlong drift with the ice pack in the Arctic Ocean witnessed surprisingly thin ice at the start and even thinner ice at the end. Also, the extent of open water during the summer of 1998 in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas was the greatest of the past 2 decades. As the ice is melting from under your feet there is an understandable tendency to blame global warming. But the project, known as the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA), though motivated by climate change, was not designed to detect global warming. Definitive climate change pronouncements can not be made based on a single experiment.
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Perovich et al. (1999) studied this question.
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