A Comprehensive Evaluation Method for Reservoir Fracability and Fracturing Applicability Based on Multiple Influencing Factors

Hydraulic fracturing is the core technology for stimulation and reform of low-permeability and unconventional oil and gas reservoirs. Reservoir fracability directly determines fracture morphology, complexity, and stimulated reservoir volume. To address the shortcomings of existing fracability evaluation models, such as poor applicability, subjective weighting and insufficient accuracy, five key indicators are selected, including brittleness index, brittle mineral index, stress difference coefficient, minimum horizontal principal stress and porosity. First, the three-dimensional discrete lattice method is used to clarify the influence of each parameter on fracture complexity. Then, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Entropy Weight Method (EWM) are combined to determine the indicator weights, a continuous fracability evaluation model is constructed, and a classification standard for fracturing applicability is established. The results show that the brittleness index has the greatest influence on fracture complexity with a weight of 0.3559, followed by brittle mineral index (0.2986), minimum principal stress (0.1994), stress difference coefficient (0.0993) and porosity (0.0467). The reservoir fracability indices of 0.37 and 0.59 are the mutation points of fracture complexity. Based on microseismic evaluation of stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) using an envelope surface method, it is found that reservoirs with low fracability are more suitable for fracturing designs characterized by large cluster spacing, fewer clusters, and smaller stage spacing. In contrast, reservoirs with medium and high fracability can develop more complex fracture networks by reducing cluster spacing, increasing the number of clusters, and adopting higher pumping rates. The research results can provide theoretical basis and technical support for hydraulic fracturing operation design.