Key result
Elevated procalcitonin is linked to ~90% higher risk of incident ischemic stroke.
Why the study?
Are elevated levels of procalcitonin, MRproANP, and copeptin associated with incident ischemic stroke risk in a stroke-free community cohort?
Case-Control (n=516)
Lab testing blinded to clinical data and outcomes
No
Are elevated levels of procalcitonin, MRproANP, and copeptin associated with incident ischemic stroke risk in a stroke-free community cohort?
Elevated levels of PCT and MRproANP serve as independent risk markers for incident ischemic stroke, correlating specifically with small vessel and cardioembolic strokes, respectively.
PCT and MRproANP elevations may flag higher stroke risk but should not yet change practice; leaves open added predictive value and subtype-specific prevention.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Chronic infections and neuroendocrine dysfunction may be risk factors for ischemic stroke (IS). We hypothesized that selected blood biomarkers of infection (procalcitonin [PCT]), hypothalamic-pituitary-axis function (copeptin), and hemodynamic dysfunction (midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide [MRproANP]) are associated with incident IS risk in the multiethnic, urban Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) cohort. METHODS: A nested case-control study was performed among initially stroke-free participants. Cases were defined as first IS (n=172). We randomly selected controls among those who did not develop an event (n=344). We calculated Cox proportional hazards models with inverse probability weighting to estimate the association of blood biomarkers with risk of stroke after adjusting for demographic, behavioral, and medical risk factors. RESULTS: Those with PCT and MRproANP, but not copeptin, in the top quartile, compared with the lowest quartile, were associated with IS (for PCT adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-3.8 and for MRproANP adjusted HR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.6-7.5). The associations of PCT and MRproANP differed by stroke etiology; PCT levels in the top quartile were particularly associated with small vessel stroke (adjusted HR, 5.1; 95% CI, 1.4-18.7) and MRproANP levels with cardioembolic stroke (adjusted HR, 16.3; 95% CI, 3.7-70.9). CONCLUSIONS: Higher levels of PCT, a marker of infection, and MRproANP, a marker for hemodynamic stress, were independently associated with IS risk. PCT was specifically associated with small vessel and MRproANP with cardioembolic stroke risk. Further study is needed to validate these biomarkers and determine their significance in stroke risk prediction and prevention.
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Katan et al. (2016) conducted a case-control in Ischemic Stroke (n=516). Top quartile levels of Procalcitonin (PCT) vs. Lowest quartile levels of Procalcitonin (PCT) was evaluated on First symptomatic occurrence of fatal or non-fatal ischemic stroke (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.8). Higher levels of procalcitonin (adjusted HR 1.9) and MRproANP (adjusted HR 3.5) were independently associated with an increased risk of incident ischemic stroke.
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