A Temporal Analysis of Voter Ideology and Voting Behavior

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Key Points

This research aims to analyze the changes in voter ideology and its relationship with voting behavior over the last 30 years in Japan.
Utilized long-term data and item response theory to construct an ideology scale
Examined changes in voter ideology distribution and its connection to voting choices
Conducted a temporal analysis spanning over three decades
Since the 1980s, voter ideology has shown a trend towards homogenization
Voter innovation peaked at the end of the 20th century but shifted towards conservatism by the early 2010s
The relationship between ideology and voting parties slightly decreased in the 2000s but became notably stronger in the 2010s

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Temporal analysis reveals shifts in voter ideology and voting behavior over 30 years, suggesting significant trends.

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So Suzuki (2025) studied this question.

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