We examine economic growth dynamics in a declining population context, highlighting the roles of automation and education.
We examine the long-run economic consequences of population decline when automation and education respond endogenously to the demographic challenge. We show that, despite negative population growth, positive per capita output growth can be sustained. In equilibrium, output grows in line with physical and human capital accumulation, with household saving behavior playing a central role in sustaining growth. Moreover, the income share of raw labor declines, whereas the share of human capital remains constant.
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Chingri et al. (2026) studied this question.
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