Investigating the Occurrence of Cracks in the Ice Cover of a Regulated River

This study examines why ice covers on the Churchill River in Labrador crack during winter and how weather, river flow, freezing conditions, and riverbed features contribute to these events. Using data from 2010 to 2025 and satellite imagery, the study shows that cracks most often occur in December to February when heavy snow, rapid flow changes, or long cold periods place stress on the ice. Cracking also frequently starts near sandbars where the ice is weaker. The results highlight that no single factor causes cracking. Instead, a combination of snow load, temperature, flow variability, and local river conditions determines when and where cracks form. There is also a disconnect from flow regulation since cracks also formed in 2012 before the construction of the dam began in 2015. A field survey was also carried out employing a combination of borehole jack (BHJ) testing and ground-penetrating radar (GPR) surveys to quantify spatial variations in ice strength and thickness across a portion of the lower Churchill River across two sandbars. In situ BHJ measurements were conducted at multiple sites to determine confined compressive ice strength under both floating and grounded conditions, revealing substantial local variability linked to differences in ice support and the presence of white versus black ice. Complementary GPR transects using 500 MHz and 1000 MHz systems provided high-resolution profiles of ice thickness and internal structure, enabling identification of transitions between grounded and floating ice. The integrated BHJ–GPR approach allowed direct comparison between point-scale strength measurements and spatially continuous thickness and grounding patterns, demonstrating that grounded ice and ice containing higher proportions of white ice exhibited more complex stress states and greater variability in mechanical response. Together, these measurements highlight the importance of combining geophysical surveying with in situ mechanical testing to better understand how environmental conditions control ice integrity and potentially influence ice-jam lodgement propensity along regulated subarctic rivers.