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June 27, 2026Journal of Theoretical Politics

Compliance with negotiated military dispute settlement: A procedural dilemma for conflict resolution between Russia and Ukraine

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Authors

XLXiao LuTKThomas König

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Overview

This article explains compliance issues in military agreements between Russia and Ukraine, suggesting trust is key.

Key Points

  • The aim is to explore why military dispute-settlement agreements between Russia and Ukraine failed due to compliance issues.
  • Integrates game-theoretical literature on delegated bargaining and compliance.
  • Distinguishes between agreement efficiency and compliance efficiency.
  • Utilizes simulations to analyze compliance scenarios based on public trust.
  • Closed-door bargaining can improve agreement efficiency but compliance depends on public trust.
  • Public mistrust of Ukraine’s delegate in the Minsk negotiations decreased compliance.
  • Effective compliance is achievable with moderate agreement efficiency as long as public trust is adequate.

Cite This Study

Lu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a3f68cdaea7db3c1953fc6fhttps://doi.org/10.1177/09516298261454889
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