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July 3, 2026Journal of King Saud University - Science0 citationsOpen Access

SVM-DEA-CSA: An innovative prognostic model for mortality prediction in heart failure utilizing metaheuristic algorithms

SASamaila AbdullahiSSSaratha Sathasivam

Key Result

The SVM-DEA-CSA model for mortality prediction in heart failure achieved an accuracy of 93%, precision of 100%, sensitivity of 79%, and F1-score of 88%.

Key Points

  • The study aims to enhance mortality prediction in heart failure patients using a novel SVM-DEA-CSA model.
  • Developed a hybrid model combining support vector machine for classification, differential evolution for feature selection, and crow search algorithm for parameter tuning.
  • Utilized the UCI Heart Failure Clinical dataset to evaluate the model's performance.
  • Analyzed predictive performance using metrics like accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-score.
  • Achieved an accuracy of 93%, precision of 100%, sensitivity of 79%, and F1-score of 88%.
  • Demonstrated improved computational efficiency and interpretability for mortality prediction.
  • The SVM-DEA-CSA model showed superior optimization performance compared to traditional methods.

Structured PICO

P
Population
Heart failure patients from the UCI (Heart Failure Clinical) dataset
I
Intervention
Support vector machine - differential evolution algorithm - crow search algorithm (SVM-DEA-CSA) prognostic model
O
Outcome
Mortality prediction (evaluated by accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, and mean squared error)

The proposed SVM-DEA-CSA machine learning model demonstrates high accuracy (93%) in predicting mortality among heart failure patients, offering a potential tool for early prognosis.

Abstract

Cardiovascular disease remains one of the leading causes of global morbidity and mortality due to its complex pathophysiology and substantial impact on public health. Predicting outcomes in patients with heart failure is particularly challenging because clinical data are often heterogeneous, nonlinear, and influenced by multiple interacting variables. To address these challenges, this study proposes the support vector machine - differential evolution algorithm - crow search algorithm (SVM-DEA-CSA) approach. This innovative hybrid model integrates Support Vector Machine (SVM) classification with differential evolution algorithm (DEA) for feature selection and crow search algorithm (CSA) for optimal parameter tuning. Utilizing the UCI (Heart Failure Clinical) dataset for mortality prediction. The model utilizes metaheuristic optimization to enhance predictive performance and address the nonlinear and complex nature of heart failure patient data. This enhances both computational efficiency and the interpretability of the predictive model. These results have improved global search capability and superior optimization performance. The effectiveness of the proposed SVM-DEA-CSA framework is thoroughly evaluated using performance indicators, including accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, and mean squared error. The SVM-DEA-CSA model achieved the highest score of Accuracy of 93%, Precision 100%, Sensitivity 79%, and F1-score 88% based on predictive accuracy and reliability. Overall, this framework offers a robust and efficient tool for early prognosis of heart failure, supporting timely clinical decision-making. Policymakers should improve the digital healthcare system and incorporate AI-powered predictive models.

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Cite This Study

Abdullahi et al. (2026) studied Heart failure. SVM-DEA-CSA model was evaluated on Mortality prediction accuracy. The SVM-DEA-CSA model for mortality prediction in heart failure achieved an accuracy of 93%, precision of 100%, sensitivity of 79%, and F1-score of 88%.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a47518c5c29257aa2578b4fhttps://doi.org/10.25259/jksus_204_2025
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Heart Failure Classification Using Support Vector Machine with Firefly Optimization2026
  2. 2Enhanced Prediction of Cardiovascular Disease Through Integrated Machine Learning Models Combining Clinical and Demographic Characteristics2026
  3. 3A Comparative Study for Time-to-Event Analysis and Survival Prediction for Heart Failure Condition using Machine Learning Techniques2022 · 11 citations
  4. 4Comparative Analysis of Classical Methods with Machine Learning Algorithm on Survival Classification of Heart Failure Patients2024
  5. 5Predicting Heart Failure Survival with Machine Learning: Assessing My Risk2024 · 9 citations