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Assesses changes in air quality effects on mortality in different regions, suggesting significant regional differences by 2100.
-attributable mortality in populated regions but are substantially offset by global increases in ozone-related mortality. We also highlight striking regional differences in the sign of net pollutant impacts by 2100, with net pollution decreases in the Northern Hemisphere driven by reductions in nitrate aerosol, while increases in both ozone and organic aerosol at higher temperatures lead to net increases in pollutant impacts in the Southern Hemisphere. Lastly, we assess sensitivities of these results to meteorological projections, health impact functions, and 10 000 future warming scenarios.
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McDuffie et al. (2026) studied this question.
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