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July 5, 2026Journal of Building Performance SimulationOpen Access

Evaluation and selection of future meteorological years for building performance simulations in Europe

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Authors

TTThomas K. ThiisAPArnkell Jonas PetersenEREugénio Rodrigues

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Overview

Randomized trial evaluates future meteorological years for building performance simulations, suggesting a robust methodology for engineering applications.

Key Points

  • This research aims to develop a method for creating and selecting future meteorological years that can be effectively used in building performance simulations across Europe.
  • Generated FMYs using RCM-based RCP and GCM-based SSP climate projections.
  • Applied engineering-oriented selection criteria across 5,028 European locations.
  • Utilized the Future Weather Generator to morph historical TMYs with climate delta data from CORDEX-CMIP5 and CMIP6 models.
  • A transparent methodology for generating FMYs is established and accessible for engineering use.
  • Enhanced climate model combination selection suitable for building simulations is provided.,
  • Guidance scheme developed helps simulate heating and cooling demand under climate change scenarios.

Cite This Study

Thiis et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a49f70df5d1d45b288012d1https://doi.org/10.1080/19401493.2026.2697216
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