Winter Usability and Thermal Risks of Urban Parks in Severe-Cold Cities: An Integrated Assessment of Thermal Comfort, Cold-Stress Risk and Adaptive Behavior

Winter underuse of urban parks in severe-cold cities limits year-round outdoor activity, especially for cold-sensitive users. This study developed a comfort–risk–adaptation framework integrating thermal perception, model-estimated cold-stress risk, and behavioral responses. Field microclimate measurements and synchronous questionnaires were conducted in Nanhu Park, Changchun, China, under clear winter conditions, yielding 386 paired human–environment samples. The Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), Required Clothing Insulation (IREQ), wind chill temperature (WCT), and contact cooling indicators were used to quantify thermal exposure and cold-stress risk. Results showed significant spatial differences in wind speed, solar radiation, mean radiant temperature, and UTCI, while air temperature and humidity varied little. The neutral UTCI was 3.14 °C (unweighted) and 3.70 °C (weighted), and the 80% thermal acceptability threshold was −15.24 °C (95% CI: −16.14 to −14.22 °C). Despite acceptable thermal perception, physiological cold-stress risks remained under certain conditions. The findings highlight the need to integrate solar access, wind mitigation, low-conductivity materials, and moderate activity routes to improve winter usability in severe-cold urban parks. Results are condition-specific and reflect observed users under clear to partly cloudy winter daytime conditions rather than universal thresholds.