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July 16, 2026Sustainable Development0 citationsOpen Access

Predicting Life Expectancy Using Machine Learning in Upper-Middle-Income Countries

Predicting Life Expectancy in Upper‐Middle‐Income Countries Using Machine Learning: A Comparative Analysis

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Authors

ESEsra SüzenMKMehmet Kayakuş

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Overview

Randomized trial predicts life expectancy in upper-middle-income countries, suggesting machine learning can guide health policies.

Key Points

  • The aim is to estimate life expectancy in upper-middle-income countries using socio-economic and health-related variables.
  • Analyzed data from the World Bank's World Development Indicators database
  • Applied four machine learning algorithms: SVR, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and XGBoost
  • Compared models using 10-fold cross-validation and metrics like R², RMSE, and MAE.
  • SVR model demonstrated the highest predictive performance with the lowest error values
  • Life expectancy showed strong associations with per capita GDP, health expenditure, and urbanization rate
  • Random Forest also performed well, while Gradient Boosting and XGBoost had lower accuracy.

Cite This Study

Süzen et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a5875f72b46c88ba9ad1aefhttps://doi.org/10.1002/sd.71468
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