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The Banff 2022 consensus introduced probable antibody-mediated rejection (AMR), characterized by mild AMR histologic features and human leukocyte antigen (HLA) donor-specific antibody (DSA) positivity. In a single-center observational cohort study of 1891 kidney transplant recipients transplanted between 2004 and 2021, 566 kidney biopsies were performed in 178 individual HLA-DSA–positive transplants. Evaluated at time of the first HLA-DSA–positive biopsy of each transplant (N = 178), 84 of the 178 (47.2%) of first biopsies were scored as no AMR, 22 of the 178 (12.4%) as probable AMR, and 72 of the 178 (40.4%) as AMR. The majority (77.3%) of probable AMR cases were first diagnosed in indication biopsies. Probable AMR was associated with lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (mL/min/1.73m 2 ) than no AMR (20.2 8.3-32.3 vs 40.1 25.4-53.3; P = .001). The one-year risk of (repeat) AMR was similar for probable AMR and AMR (subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR), 0.99; 0.42-2.31; P = .97) and higher than after no AMR (sHR, 3.05; 1.07-8.73; P = .04). Probable AMR had a higher five-year risk of transplant glomerulopathy vs no AMR (sHR, 4.29; 0.92-19.98; P = 06), similar to AMR (sHR, 1.74; 0.43-7.04; P = .44). No significant differences in five-year risk of graft failure emerged between probable AMR and AMR (sHR, 1.14; 0.36-3.58; P = .82) or no AMR (sHR, 2.46; 0.78-7.74; P = .12). Probable AMR is a rare phenotype, however, sharing significant similarities with AMR in this single-center study. Future studies are needed to validate reproducible diagnostic criteria and associated clinical outcomes to allow for defining best management of this potentially relevant phenotype.
Wellekens et al. (Thu,) studied this question.