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Critical review evaluates SOH/RUL estimators for lithium-ion batteries, indicating implications for better management.
Reliable state of health (SOH) and remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is essential for lithium-ion battery diagnostics, prognosis, and management across cell, module, and pack levels. Yet the reported performance metrics often remain tied to controlled cell datasets, with batteries degrading due to chemistry shifts, protocol variation, temperature changes, inconsistent and insufficient measurements, and pack-level heterogeneity. This critical review investigates what evidence is required before an SOH/RUL estimator can be considered trustworthy, transferable, and suitable for battery management system deployment. Based on a de-duplicated classified set of 176 scientific works and a supplementary evidence audit workbook, this review synthesizes model-based, machine learning, deep learning, transfer learning, physics-informed, impedance-based, thermographic, relaxation-based, and digital twin approaches through observability, robustness, uncertainty calibration, transferability, and deployment feasibility. A compact mathematical framework formalizes the health inference, domain shift, cross-fidelity degradation, calibrated uncertainty, and BMS-facing validation criteria. The analysis argues that deployment-ready battery health intelligence should be evaluated as an evidence system rather than as a point prediction task. The proposed multi-fidelity validation framework links synthetic cells, controlled aging, module (pack) testing, fleet shadow operation, and closed-loop safety-governed deployment using acceptance criteria, based on worst-domain error, calibration data, warning risk, and computational feasibility.
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Rizanov et al. (2026) studied this question.
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