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Acoustic extensometer instruments capable of making precise daily measurements of horizontal distance were deployed across the north rift zone of Axial Volcano in June 1996 and were in place when a submarine eruption began on Axial's south rift zone in January 1998. The instruments recorded a gradual 9‐cm extension over a 405‐m baseline leading up to the eruption, and then an abrupt, 4‐cm contraction at the time of the eruption. An elastic point‐source deformation model shows that deflation of Axial's summit can explain both the 4‐cm distance decrease at the extensometer array and a 3.2‐m subsidence measured by another instrument in the caldera, if the pressure source is located at a depth of 3.8 km below the center of the caldera. The 9‐cm distance increase may represent pre‐eruption spreading across the rift zone.
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Chadwick et al. (1999) studied this question.
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