Evidence of similar probablility of intense hurricane strikes for the Gulf of Mexico over the late Holocene

Research Article| June 01, 2010 Evidence of similar probablility of intense hurricane strikes for the Gulf of Mexico over the late Holocene Davin J. Wallace; Davin J. Wallace Department of Earth Science, Rice University, Houston, Texas 77251, USA Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar John B. Anderson John B. Anderson Department of Earth Science, Rice University, Houston, Texas 77251, USA Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Author and Article Information Davin J. Wallace Department of Earth Science, Rice University, Houston, Texas 77251, USA John B. Anderson Department of Earth Science, Rice University, Houston, Texas 77251, USA Publisher: Geological Society of America Received: 28 Sep 2009 Revision Received: 18 Dec 2009 Accepted: 11 Jan 2010 First Online: 09 Mar 2017 Online ISSN: 1943-2682 Print ISSN: 0091-7613 © 2010 Geological Society of America Geology (2010) 38 (6): 511–514. https://doi.org/10.1130/G30729.1 Article history Received: 28 Sep 2009 Revision Received: 18 Dec 2009 Accepted: 11 Jan 2010 First Online: 09 Mar 2017 Cite View This Citation Add to Citation Manager Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Email Tools Icon Tools Get Permissions Search Site Citation Davin J. Wallace, John B. Anderson; Evidence of similar probablility of intense hurricane strikes for the Gulf of Mexico over the late Holocene. Geology 2010;; 38 (6): 511–514. doi: https://doi.org/10.1130/G30729.1 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Refmanager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex toolbar search Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentBy SocietyGeology Search Advanced Search Abstract Hurricane magnitude and frequency have been linked to numerous mechanisms, including the steady rise in annual sea-surface temperatures, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variations, and atmospheric changes. In order to better understand those factors that control hurricane magnitude and frequency, a long-term record spanning the entire Gulf of Mexico coast is needed. Here we present a detailed record from ca. 5300–900 yr B.P. of past intense hurricane impacts for cores collected from Laguna Madre, Texas, United States. Relative storm intensities were calculated for each event, and the average intense storm impact probability for south Texas was determined to be ∼0.46% (annual landfall probability). Previous field studies in Western Lake, Florida, and Lake Shelby, Alabama, reveal similar probability intense hurricane strikes of ∼0.39%. Although high-frequency oscillations between warm and dry and cool and wet climate conditions have occurred in Texas through the late Holocene, there has been no notable variation in intense storm impacts across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico coast during this time interval, implying no direct link between these changing climate conditions and annual hurricane impact probability. In addition, there have been no significant differences in the landfall probabilities of storms between the eastern and western Gulf of Mexico during the late Holocene, suggesting that storm steering mechanisms have not varied during this time. You do not have access to this content, please speak to your institutional administrator if you feel you should have access.