Key result
ECG and hs-cTn alone match the full HEART score in predicting 30-day ACS or MACE.
Why the study?
Clinical risk scores for acute chest pain were largely validated using older troponin assays, warranting evaluation of the HEART score and clinical decision pathways utilizing high sensitivity troponin.
Does risk stratification with high-sensitivity troponin and ECG alone predict 30-day ACS or MACE as effectively as the full HEART score in adults with acute chest pain?
Cohort (n=1,014)
No
Does risk stratification with high-sensitivity troponin and ECG alone predict 30-day ACS or MACE as effectively as the full HEART score in adults with acute chest pain?
In the era of high-sensitivity troponin, the traditional HEART score provides little additional prognostic value over ECG and troponin alone for risk-stratifying patients with acute chest pain.
Caution against changing chest pain risk stratification; leaves open whether hs-troponin-ECG models warrant prospective validation.
Background Clinical risk scores for acute chest pain evaluation were largely validated using older troponin assays. We sought to analyze the HEART score and clinical decision pathways utilizing high sensitivity troponin. Methods This was a retrospective study of all adult patients presenting with nontraumatic chest pain to a single center, quaternary-care emergency department over a 6-month time period. Patients were risk-stratified by the HEART score using an institution-specific clinical decision pathway that aligns with current guidelines. Predictive models and optimal cutoff values were constructed via logistic regression for the primary outcome of acute coronary syndrome at presentation or major adverse cardiovascular events within 30 days and additional analysis was performed among risk groups assessing associations of HEART score with negative troponin and electrocardiogram compared to positive troponin or electrocardiogram. Results Data from 1,014 patients were included for analysis with 46 patients (4.5%) meeting the primary outcome. The model most associated with the primary outcome utilized electrocardiogram and high-sensitivity troponin only (C-statistic = 0.883), which reliably predicted the absence of the primary outcome in intermediate risk patients. The addition of medical history, risk factors, and age to this model (via the continuous HEART score) did not increase its value (C-Statistic 0.876). Conclusion Our study suggests that high-sensitivity troponin and electrocardiogram alone can be used to risk stratify most patients with acute chest pain appropriately. Traditional scoring systems developed with contemporary cardiac troponin assays have less utility in the era of high sensitivity troponin, especially with patients previously deemed intermediate risk.
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Harris et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Nontraumatic chest pain (n=1,014). Electrocardiogram and high-sensitivity troponin vs. HEART score was evaluated on Composite of acute coronary syndrome at presentation or major adverse cardiovascular events within 30 days (C-statistic 0.883, 95% CI 0.881-0.885). An assessment model utilizing only electrocardiogram and high-sensitivity troponin accurately predicted 30-day acute coronary syndrome or MACE (C-statistic 0.883), performing similarly to the full HEART score.
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