This analysis assesses the limitations on advanced civilizations broadcasting detectable signals using fast radio bursts, indicating the need for further exploration.
Using current radio telescope surveys, we derive upper bounds on the num- ber of advanced civilizations that could produce radio bursts of high energy and millisecond duration as deliberate beacons. The calculation incorpo- rates the effects of light travel time and cosmological expansion, and gives the probability of detectable signaling as a function of broadcasting lifetime and burst rate. The analysis is calibrated against the Second CHIME/FRB Catalog, which contains 4,539 FRB detections, including 83 confirmed re- peating sources. The argument does not require observed FRBs themselves to be artificial. Using both simplified static-universe models and full ΛCDM volume in- tegration, we derive analytic and numerical expressions for the detectable fraction f(τ) of broadcasting civilizations. We derive an upper limit Nmax on the number of FRB-class broadcasting civilizations as a function of broadcast lifetime T. For a single reference di- rectional beacon and T = 1 Gyr, Nmax is∼700,000. We extend the analysis to a multi-beacon regime and define the combined effective sky-coverage pa- rameter η ≡M·Ω/4π, where M is the number of independent beacons per civilization and Ω/4π is the per-beacon beam fraction; the reference beacon above corresponds to η = 10−3. In the full-sky coverage limit (η = 1), this constraint tightens significantly to Nmax ∼700. In the same effective full-sky coverage limit (η = 1), the projected BURSTT and SKA-Low constraints reach Nmax ∼5 for a broadcasting lifetime of T = 1 Gyr and Nmax ∼5,000 for T = 1 Myr, within their survey volume (z ≲ 0.1). We show that the constraints are on the product of broadcaster abundance and broadcasting longevity rather than either quantity independently.
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Jean-François Chauwin (2026) studied this question.
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