Application of Meteosat second generation data towards improving the nowcasting of convective initiation

The prediction of convective initiation (CI) from a satellite perspective provides forecasters with a constant relatively high temporal and convective scale spatial resolution tool to help protect life and property. By monitoring infrared (IR) channel brightness temperatures, their trends and multi‐spectral channel differences, the prediction of CI can be accomplished on the 0–1 h timescale. These methods, currently employed on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) system, have only recently been explored on the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite system. The additional channels and derived instability indices available on the MSG satellites may provide additional information useful to the prediction of CI. In this paper a concept is developed and discussed towards the advantages and possible applications of the inclusion of MSG specific IR spectral channels and instability information through the analysis of several convective case events over Central Europe and South Africa.