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July 29, 2026Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & Performance

Belief certainty guides exploration choices during visual information foraging.

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Authors

SLSylvie LoneraganDRDragan RangelovJMJason B. Mattingley

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Overview

Randomized trial demonstrates belief certainty influences exploration choices in visual foraging, suggesting strategic decision-making effects.

Key Points

  • The study investigates how belief certainty affects choices made during visual information foraging.
  • Participants observed two patches of moving dots and judged signal rates.
  • Belief models were developed using iterative Bayesian belief updating.
  • Certainty was quantified based on the location and width of probability distributions.
  • Participants' certainty increased even after signal rate estimates stabilized.
  • Certainty guided the decision to stop exploring at a common threshold.
  • Accumulation of belief certainty was shown to influence decision-making during visual foraging.

Cite This Study

Loneragan et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a69a2c7c8da07d9defa6a58https://doi.org/10.1037/xhp0001440
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