Bleeding peptic ulcer – time trends in incidence, treatment and mortality in Sweden

BACKGROUND: The incidence of peptic ulcer disease was expected to decrease following the introduction of acid inhibitors and Helicobacter pylori eradication. AIM: To analyse possible changes in the incidence of bleeding peptic ulcer, treatment and mortality over time. METHODS: Residents of Malmö hospitalized for bleeding gastric or duodenal ulcer disease during 1987-2004 were identified in hospital databases (n = 1610). The material was divided into 6-year periods to identify changes over time. All patients who had been submitted to emergency surgery (n = 137) were reviewed. RESULTS: The incidence rate for bleeding gastric or duodenal ulcers decreased by one half in males and by one-third in females and emergency operations decreased significantly (9.2%, 7.5% and 5.7% during the three time periods, respectively (P < 0.05). The post-operative mortality tended to decrease (9.7, 2.4 and 3.7%, respectively) and the 30-day mortality rates in the whole material were 1.2%, 3.6% and 3.4% during the different time periods. CONCLUSION: The incidence of bleeding gastric and duodenal ulcer disease has decreased markedly. Operative treatment has been replaced by endoscopic treatment. The bleeding ulcer-related mortality was less than 4% and has not changed over time.