Investigates the impact of temperature and hypoxia on bivalve survival, suggesting warming threatens coastal ecosystems.
Amid progressing climate change, this study investigated the interactive effects of water temperature, dissolved oxygen (DO), and shell length on Fulvia mutica , a shallow‐coastal water bivalve, focusing on the combined impacts of elevated temperature and moderate hypoxia. Factorial tank experiments were conducted using a total of 420 individuals across two distinct size classes (mean shell lengths: 14.6 mm and 43.2 mm), under 17 environmental conditions combining various water temperatures (25°C–32°C) and DO levels (2, 4, and > 6 mg L −1 ). Based on the experimental results, a Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) and Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) models were constructed to estimate temperature‐dependent survival probabilities and lethal thresholds (LC 50 and LT 50 , respectively), projecting these values across the examined size range (20, 30, and 40 mm). The results indicated a significant interaction where sensitivity to hypoxia was amplified with increasing water temperatures. Notably, under moderate hypoxia (DO 4 mg L −1 ), within the 25°C–28°C range, the rate of increase in LC 50 averaged 0.25 ± 0.06 mg L −1 °C −1 , whereas the decline in LT 50 averaged 8.5 ± 0.9 days°C −1 across all size classes examined. These findings suggest a potential synergistic threat of coastal warming and oxygen depletion, indicating that F. mutica may be increasingly vulnerable to moderate hypoxia under future warming conditions.
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Kobayashi et al. (2026) studied this question.
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