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July 31, 2026JAMA Cardiology

Twenty-Five–Year Follow-Up of Quantified Mitral Regurgitation

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Why the study?

Current guidelines recommend considering surgery for asymptomatic severe mitral regurgitation, but long-term prognosis and optimal treatment for moderate mitral regurgitation remain uncertain.

Does mitral valve surgery improve all-cause mortality in asymptomatic patients with holosystolic degenerative mitral regurgitation compared to medical therapy?

Population

449 asymptomatic patients with holosystolic degenerative MR

Comparison

Baseline MR severity quantified by ERO under medical therapy vs subsequent surgical correction

Design

Single-center prospective cohort study with extended follow-up

Follow-up

Median 26 years

Key result

Increasing baseline effective regurgitant orifice area was associated with higher mortality under medical therapy (HR per IQR increase 2.53; 95% CI 1.30-4.93; P=0.01).

Authors

AKAnastasiia KaradzhaHSHartzell V. SchaffBLBrian D. Lahr

Discussion

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Overview

Baseline MR severity may aid risk stratification in asymptomatic patients; leaves open whether surgery improves survival.

Key Points

  • To assess the long-term prognostic significance of mitral regurgitation severity and surgical outcomes in asymptomatic patients.
  • Prospective cohort study with 449 asymptomatic patients with degenerative mitral regurgitation followed for 25 years.
  • Baseline mitral regurgitation severity was quantified using effective regurgitant orifice area.
  • Survival outcomes were measured using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors.
  • Mean age of participants was 64 years, with a progressive decline in survival rates as ERO increased (5-year rates: 88%, 72%, 55% for ERO <20 mm², 20-39 mm², ≥40 mm², respectively; P=0.01).
  • Among the 449, 254 patients (57%) underwent mitral valve surgery; significant survival benefits were noted for those with ERO 30-39 mm² post-surgery.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=449)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

Does mitral valve surgery improve all-cause mortality in asymptomatic patients with holosystolic degenerative mitral regurgitation compared to medical therapy?

P
Population
449 asymptomatic patients with holosystolic degenerative mitral regurgitation, mean age 64 years, followed for a median of 26 years.
E
Exposure
Mitral valve surgery
C
Comparator
Medical therapy
O
Outcome
All-cause mortalityhard clinical

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 2.53 (95% CI 1.3–4.93)

p-value: p=.01

In asymptomatic patients with degenerative mitral regurgitation, surgical treatment is associated with improved long-term survival in those with upper-moderate MR (ERO 30-39 mm2).

Cite This Study

Karadzha et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in asymptomatic patients with holosystolic degenerative mitral regurgitation (n=449). Baseline MR severity quantified by effective regurgitant orifice area (ERO) vs. Lower ERO categories was evaluated on All-cause mortality (HR 2.53, 95% CI 1.30-4.93, p=.01). Increasing baseline effective regurgitant orifice area was associated with higher mortality under medical therapy (HR per IQR increase 2.53; 95% CI 1.30-4.93; P=0.01).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a6c477c747664a1aa73ce13https://doi.org/10.1001/jamacardio.2026.2389
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