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Analyzes the limitations of ellipticity in financial markets, revealing implications for risk assessment and portfolio management.
Elliptical distributions provide one of the most powerful justifications for mean– variance portfolio analysis. Under joint ellipticity, every portfolio return shares a common standardized shape, so a broad class of law-invariant risk measures reducesto a function of location and scale. This paper studies the structural content of that assumption and identifies the settings in which it cannot be maintained. The analysis separates generator-free implications from restrictions that require additionalassumptions on support, temporal aggregation, radial tails, or regime structure.The paper develops three principal results. First, limited liability combined with symmetry imposes a mirror bound that is difficult to reconcile with observed asset returns. Second, mixtures with a common location and generator remain elliptical only when their dispersion matrices are proportional; for two Gaussian regimes, the paper gives a complete classification that also excludes nontrivial location switching. Third, a baseline-free first variation of expected shortfall isolates the relevant tail functional before any Gaussian Edgeworth approximation is introduced. This distinction clarifies when co-skewness corrections are theoretically justified and when an elliptical reference distribution must first absorb symmetric higher-order shape.Additional results connect ellipticity to convex payoffs, capital structure, multiplicative compounding, horizon invariance, common tail indices, tail-dependence rigidity, and radial–angular independence. Exact tests are derived for central symmetry and radial–angular independence when nuisance parameters are known. For dependent returns, a block sign-flip calibration re-estimates filtering, centering, and thresholds within each resample. Under its maintained dynamic sign-invariance condition, theprocedure has appropriate simulated size across persistent-volatility, GARCH, and Student elliptical nulls. Applied to a frozen sample of United States equity portfolios from 1949 through 2017, it rejects central symmetry across nine pre-specified paneland threshold combinations after Holm correction. Throughout, a claims register separates proved, classical, conditional, numerical, and empirical statements, making the scope of each conclusion explicit. The results support treating ellipticity as aconditional, horizon-specific approximation whose practical adequacy depends on whether structural misspecification is economically material relative to the estimation error required to model it.
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Miquel Noguer Alonso (2026) studied this question.
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