Key result
Common carotid artery longitudinal displacement did not predict incident cardiovascular disease events (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.48-1.24; p=0.3) over a 12-year median follow-up.
Why the study?
Common carotid artery displacement can be quantified with novel technology but is traditionally ignored, and its associations with CVD risk and events required evaluation.
Does common carotid artery displacement predict incident cardiovascular disease events in a multi-ethnic cohort?
Cohort (n=2,050)
Yes
Does common carotid artery displacement predict incident cardiovascular disease events in a multi-ethnic cohort?
Common carotid artery longitudinal and transverse displacement are associated with CVD risk factors but do not predict incident CVD events.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Does not support carotid longitudinal displacement for CVD risk prediction in practice; leaves open its mechanistic role in selected cohorts.
Novel technology permits quantification of common carotid artery (CCA) displacement, which is traditionally ignored. We evaluated associations with CCA displacement and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and events in a large, multi-ethnic cohort. Right CCA longitudinal displacement (LD), transverse displacement (TD), and grayscale median (GSM) were evaluated using ultrasound speckle-tracking and texture analysis software in 2050 participants. Regression analyses were used to define relationships between CCA LD, TD, GSM, and CVD risk factors. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess relationships between LD, TD, and incident CVD events. Participants were mean (SD) 64 (10) years old. There were 791 cases with a CVD event over a 12-year median follow-up. The mean LD was 0.29 (0.20) mm. In multivariable models including age, sex, race/ethnicity, heart rate, and CVD risk factors, LD was associated positively with active smoking (β = 0.08, p < 0.001) and inversely with black (β = −0.08, p < 0.001), Chinese (β = −0.05, p < 0.001), and Hispanic (β = −0.04, p < 0.05) race/ethnicities relative to white individuals, heart rate (β = −0.03/10 beats/min, p < 0.001), and diastolic blood pressure (β = −0.01/5 mmHg, p < 0.05). In fully adjusted models, LD and TD were associated with GSM ( p < 0.01), but neither predicted incident CVD events (LD: hazard ratio (HR) 0.77 [0.48 to 1.24], p = 0.3; TD: HR 1.12 [0.8 to 1.57], p = 0.5). CCA LD and TD are associated with race/ethnicity and CVD risk factors but not incident CVD events. LD and TD are not measures of arterial stiffness but their association with GSM suggests that lower LD and TD may be related to structural changes within the carotid arterial wall.
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Gepner et al. (2019) conducted a cohort in Cardiovascular disease (n=2,050). Common carotid artery longitudinal displacement (LD) was evaluated on Incident CVD events (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.48 to 1.24, p=0.3). Common carotid artery longitudinal displacement did not predict incident cardiovascular disease events (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.48-1.24; p=0.3) over a 12-year median follow-up.
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