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The paper presents methods for quantitatively estimating indicators characterizing the performance of heat supply systems with the use of a dynamic thermal-hydraulic model of a heat supply system. Formulas for calculating average shortage (excess) of thermal energy for each consumer with a specified scenario of disturbing inputs and control outputs, as well as mathematical expectation and variance of average shortage (excess) with different scenarios are proposed. A method for calculating the coefficient characterizing useful utilization of energy at consumers and in the heat supply system as a whole for estimating the economic efficiency of an operating mode is presented.
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Z. I. Shalaginova (2012) studied this question.
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