Blood pressure trajectories and the mediated effects of body mass index and HIV‐related inflammation in a mixed cohort of people with and without HIV in rural Uganda

We sought to describe changes in blood pressure and estimate the effect of HIV on blood pressure (BP) over 4 years of observation in a cohort of 155 HIV-infected adults (≥40 years) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and 154 sex- and age-quartile-matched, population-based, HIV-uninfected controls for four years in rural Uganda, we compared changes in blood pressure (BP) by HIV serostatus and tested whether body mass index and inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and interleukin-6) and immune activation (sCD14 and sCD163) mediated the effects of HIV on BP using hierarchical multivariate and two-stage parametric regression models. Overall HIV-uninfected participants had higher mean BP than HIV-infected counterparts (differences in trend P < 0.0001 for diastolic BP and P = 0.164 for systolic BP). After initial declines in BP in both groups between years 1 and 2, BP moderately increased in both groups through year 4, with greater change over time observed in the HIV-uninfected group. Body mass index mediated 72% (95%CI 57, 97) of the association between HIV and systolic BP. We found a minimal mediating effect of sCD14 on the relationship between HIV and SBP (9%, 95% CI 5%, 21%), but found no association between other HIV-related biomarkers. Over four years of observation, HIV-infected people in rural Uganda have lower BP than HIV-uninfected counterparts despite having higher levels of inflammation. BMI, rather than measures of HIV-associated inflammation, explained a majority of the difference in BP observed.