A Model of Child Morbidity, Mortality, and Health Interventions

Agency for International Development. We are grateful to Andres de Francisco of ICDDR,B for supplying tabulations regarding coverage of interventions in the Matlab study area. Bettie Martin assisted with some figures and tables. We also benefited from comments on an earlier draft by Marc Debay and Henry Mosley and Fannie Fonseca. John Bongaarts suggested the validation exercise. Saifuddin Ahmed wrote the program in the C language as an independent check of the Fortran program written by the first author. The computer and population library services used are supported by the Hopkins Population Center grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (5-P30-HD06268). A macro model of morbidity and mortality in children under five years of age is presented. Monthly disease-specific incidence and case fatality rates form the basis of the model and the efficacy and coverage of disease-specific interventions alter